Forecasting Research Institute

📍Remote (Global) 🕔 Part Time
💰$20+ USD/hr 🔄 Rolling Applications

Research assistants support project leads in a variety of ways. Example tasks include:

  • Literature reviews

  • Distilling complex topics into forecastable questions

  • Responding to forecasters’ questions or clarification requests

  • Assisting project leads in designing and conducting experiments

  • Analyzing data and aggregating forecasts from in-progress and previous forecasting tournaments and experiments

  • Helping to run forecasting tournaments

  • Collecting historical data underlying forecasting questions to embed in forecasting tournaments


Qualifications

The ideal candidate would have the following characteristics, but please do not let this list prevent you from applying:

  • Generalist research skills

  • Clear, explicit communicator 

  • Strong writing skills

  • Familiarity with, and interest in, quantitative forecasting

  • Ability to work productively in a self-directed (remote) environment

  • Comfort taking on new challenges and learning new tools

  • Familiarity with some of the data skills listed in our data analyst job description, though not required, is preferred

We are aware that women and those from minority groups are less likely to apply for roles if they don't meet every single criteria. We highly encourage you to apply, even if you don't feel completely qualified. Some of the best people we’ve worked with in our careers felt underqualified when they first applied, and we’re glad they did so anyway.

Role Details

This is a part time, contractor role, with a preference for candidates who will be available 10+ hours/week. This role is entirely remote, and we are able to hire people in most countries. Applicants can work whichever hours of the day work for them. We prefer applicants who can start immediately. Pay is commensurate with experience, starting at $20/hour.

Application Process

We are reviewing applications on a rolling basis and will add a closing date when we have received enough high-quality applications to be confident that we will make an offer. We will review all applications received prior to the closing date.

The application process will vary by candidate but for successful candidates will typically involve:

  • An initial application

  • A paid 10-hour work test

  • A 45-minute interview

Forecasting Research Institute

We develop forecasting methods to improve decision-making on high-stakes issues. First-generation forecasting research—spearheaded by FRI Chief Scientist Philip Tetlock and coauthors—focused on establishing a rigorous standard for prediction accuracy. The next generation of work aims to channel this approach into real-world relevance. We work with policymakers and nonprofit organizations to design practical forecasting tools, and test them in large experiments.

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